Roulette How To Predict Where The Ball Will Land
How can one predict what number will come up after a spin of a roulette wheel? You have a poor chance of predicting this. One factor determining this is the difference between roulette wheels. Here are some of the principles that are typically used to predict where the ball will land with professional roulette prediction techniques: Dominant Diamonds. On most wheels, the ball will tend to hit a specific diamond more frequently than others. You can check this for yourself at your local casino by creating a chart like the one shown left. Just predict that the ball will land on either a 0, a 00, or the numbers 1 through 36. You could even bet on all those numbers, but if you did, you’d lose money consistently and repeatedly because of the house edge.
- Roulette How To Predict Where The Ball Will Landing
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- The ball is also rolled on a slightly inclined circular surface, so it is not easy to predict where the ball will lose the essential centrifugal force and will hit the diamond-like projections on the wheel and come to rest. The new and doubt-free casinos.
- PREDICTION ROULETTE: Know Where the Ball Will Land - Kindle edition by DAVIDSON, RICK. Download it once and read it on your Kindle device, PC, phones or tablets. Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading PREDICTION ROULETTE: Know Where the Ball Will Land.
Get Your Brain Cells Fired Up
Just about as many people have studied the physics of a roulette wheel and ball as have tried to beat the wheel with a roulette system. The reward for being able to predict where the ball is going to land in any given spin on a roulette table is just too tempting!
In this section, we take a look at some basic roulette physics to see if this can help us, in any way, to understand the dynamics of the game and thus to gain an edge. Roulette probabilities are fixed. But that hasn’t stopped people from trying to predict those outcomes.
There might be some roulette mathematics involved here by the way!
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The first thing to say, is that the roulette wheel is designed to generate outcomes of pure chance. There is no purer form of gambling, and although most wheels are not 100% random (they may be biased, or the dealer may have a signature), they are as close to random as you can possibly get. Casinos aren’t bothered about having perfect roulette wheels. They just need them perfect enough so that humans are unable to spot any trends.
Let’s take an American Roulette Wheel. There are 38 pockets into which the ball can fall, and all are the same size. The probability of the ball landing in any of them is equal. You could say that a roulette wheel is a random number generator or an RNG.
Physical Properties of a Roulette Wheel
But, and it’s a big but- the result isn’t determined by an electronic random number generator like it is in virtual or video roulette. It is determined by the mechanics of a ball going round a wheel, and friction and gravity acting on that ball. Eventually the ball will lose all of its kinetic energy thanks to friction with the wheel and the air, and will eventually bounce across pockets losing more and more energy faster and faster until it comes to a stop.
In theory, if you are able to measure certain parameters, you should be able to work out the pocket into which the ball will fall. Even if you are unable to predict the exact pocket, you should be able to predict a “zone” of numbers. And that is enough in roulette to give you an edge, because of course you can make multiple single number bets.
Laser Eyes
Visual spotting, or even lasers have been used to collect the necessary initial values of the variables in the system. All this becomes easier if the wheel is biased- even a minor tilt of the rotor, for example, can create shadow zones on the wheel where the ball never falls.
Here we get into the actual physics of a roulette wheel, a topic that has been covered by many scientists including , using the work of Edward Thorp who wrote Elementary Probability (1966), The Mathematics of Gambling (1984) and several mathematical papers on probability, game theory, and functional analysis and Eichberger who has attempted to beat roulette with a computer in his Roulette Physics paper.
In these approximations, friction and air resistance need to be plugged in to the model. Another paper worth looking at, as this comes from the casino’s perspective, is Dixon’s Roulette Wheel Testing in which he claims that an angle of as little as 0.1° will cause a discernable bias in the wheel.
The Physics of Roulette
Friction and Drag
Let’s look at a roulette wheel. It consists of an outside s a rim along which the ball rolls at the beginning of its journey. At some stage the ball will drop down from the rim when it loses momentum and travel towards the centre of the wheel. The ball will hit a set of bumps, which will send the ball scattering in a chaotic fashion. Then the ball reaches the inner section of the wheel, with 38 identically sized pockets into which it can land.
Say there was no friction, drag, or tilt, the ball would roll around the rim of the wheel in the opposite direction to the wheel spin, infinitely. It’s path can be determined by the initial angular velocity of the ball and the initial angular velocity of the wheel. Here we are going to use Eichberger’s equation of motion for the wheel without tilt:
ω is the angular velocity of the ball, and α is the angular acceleration of the ball. The constants a and b refer to the effects of friction and drag
Tilted Wheels
If the wheel is tilted, (ie you have a biased wheel), you need additional parameters to describe this. Andy Hall (2007) has written a paper on this called the Forbidden Zones of Roulette Wheels, which make for interesting reading if you are keen on roulette physics. His equation for tilted wheels is as follows:
The ball’s angular acceleration α, now depends on the speed of the ball, AND its location, theta. This is due to the tilt- in some areas the ball is deccelerating up the tilt, and in others it is accelerating down it.
Using these and other equations to model the ball’s behaviour, the authors have made claimed that they are able to predict the final resting place of the ball with a high enough degree of accuracy to be able to get an edge over the casinos, by predicting:
Where the ball leaves the Rim and
Working out the Departure Angle of the Ball
Summary
The amount of tilt that a wheel has affects how big the “shadow zones” are on roulette wheels, as modelled by these equations. But importantly, these shadow zones or “forbidden zones” relate to where the ball comes off the rim of the outer wheel, not where it stops. The casinos still have one ace up their sleeve- and that is the “bumps” that chaotically scatter the ball in all directions.
This is a far harder thing to model. Can you beat roulette with chaos theory? Well, that’s a whole different subject!
How to Play Roulette
Roulette is a game that requires players to predict where a ball dropped on a spinning wheel will land. The player records their predictions with the dealer by placing their chips at designated areas on the roulette table. The game board on the table is made up of 3 columns of 12, labeled 1 through 36. At the top of the board are a “0” and a “00”. This means that there are 38 possible places for the ball to land on the wheel.
Roulette How To Predict Where The Ball Will Landing
A person is allowed to make two types of bets, inside bets and outside bets. An inside bet means the player is betting on the number or set of numbers that the ball will land on while an outside bet means that a player is betting on the color of the number the ball lands on, whether the ball lands on an odd or even number, which column of 12 the number the ball lands on is located in and whether or not the ball lands on a low (1 through 18) or high (19 through 36) number. A player may bet inside, outside, or both, but each bet must meet minimum bet requirements.
Roulette How To Predict Where The Ball Will Land Lines
When betting inside, the player can make a straight up bet(on one number only, chip is placed directly on number, pays 35 to 1), split bet (on two numbers, chip straddles both numbers, pays 17 to 1), street bet (on three numbers, chip is placed on the line at the end of the row to the right of the last number in the row, pays 11 to 1), corner bet (on four numbers, chip straddles four numbers at once by being placed on the adjoining corners of four numbers, pays 8 to 1), line bet (on six numbers, chip is placed on the line at the end of the row to the right of the last number in a row but straddles the top and bottom of two numbers, pays 5 to 1), five number bet (on five numbers, the player places a chip where the number 2 meets the 0 and the 00, this bet will win if the ball lands on 0, 00, 1, 2, or 3, and pays 6 to 1).
When betting outside, the player can bet on the color of the number that the ball lands on, whether the number is odd or even, and whether the number is high or low, (each pays 1 to 1). A person can make a column bet by placing their chips at the bottom of which column they think will contain the number the ball lands on. A dozen bet allows the player to bet on whether the ball lands on the first 12 numbers, second 12 numbers, or third 12 numbers of the board.
As players will be able to see, the inside bets pay considerably more than the outside bets, since the odds of winning an inside bet are lower. For most of the outside bets, the player has a 50% chance of winning. For the most part, it isn’t too difficult to learn to play roulette. Perhaps the best thing about the game is that the player can bet on every possible outcome.